Tropical Storm GONZALO Advisory śro., 15.10.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0300 UTC WED OCT 15 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
110 KTS...125 MPH...205 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  38(41)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)  29(54)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  33(33)  15(48)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   9(20)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  23(23)   9(32)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   6(12)
BURGEO NFLD    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   6(24)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   1(22)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  25(25)   2(27)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  44(44)   1(45)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   1(20)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  83(89)   1(90)   X(90)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  60(60)   X(60)   X(60)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  37(37)   X(37)   X(37)

GRAND TURK     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN