Tropical Storm HERMINE Advisory pon., 05.09.

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 37.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   X(11)

MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

CONCORD NH     34  X   6( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  1   8( 9)   3(12)   2(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)

WORCESTER MA   34  4   9(13)   5(18)   2(20)   2(22)   1(23)   X(23)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  3  10(13)   4(17)   2(19)   1(20)   X(20)   X(20)

BOSTON MA      34  5  10(15)   5(20)   2(22)   3(25)   1(26)   X(26)

HYANNIS MA     34 12  16(28)   6(34)   5(39)   4(43)   X(43)   X(43)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

NANTUCKET MA   34 19  19(38)   6(44)   6(50)   3(53)   X(53)   X(53)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  9  13(22)   6(28)   3(31)   3(34)   X(34)   X(34)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  6  10(16)   5(21)   2(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  6  11(17)   5(22)   1(23)   2(25)   X(25)   X(25)

HARTFORD CT    34  5  10(15)   5(20)   2(22)   1(23)   1(24)   X(24)

NEW LONDON CT  34  9  13(22)   5(27)   3(30)   2(32)   X(32)   X(32)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ALBANY NY      34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  1   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   1(13)   1(14)   X(14)

MONTAUK POINT  34 12  17(29)   6(35)   3(38)   2(40)   1(41)   X(41)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ISLIP NY       34  7  12(19)   5(24)   1(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  5  10(15)   4(19)   1(20)   1(21)   1(22)   X(22)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  4   9(13)   3(16)   1(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)

NEWARK NJ      34  3   9(12)   2(14)   2(16)   X(16)   1(17)   X(17)

TRENTON NJ     34  2   7( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  5   8(13)   4(17)   1(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA   34  1   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  5   7(12)   2(14)   1(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

DOVER DE       34  1   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  2   6( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  3   5( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WALLOPS CDA    34  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN